贵州财经大学学报 ›› 2026 ›› Issue (03): 121-132.

• 绿色发展论坛 • 上一篇    

数字绿色金融平台对减污降碳的协同增效作用——基于双重机器学习的因果推断

吕宛青, 肖钊富   

  1. 云南大学 工商管理与旅游管理学院, 云南 昆明 650500
  • 收稿日期:2025-11-10 发布日期:2026-03-28
  • 作者简介:吕宛青(1962—),女,云南昆明人,云南大学工商管理与旅游管理学院二级教授,博士生导师,研究方向为数字治理、旅游经济;肖钊富(1997—),男,广东茂名人,云南大学工商管理与旅游管理学院博士研究生,研究方向为资源与环境经济学。
  • 基金资助:
    国家社科基金西部项目"阻断'三区三州’规模性返贫的风险识别、精准监测与统筹治理研究"(24XMZ034);四川省社会科学院资助项目"成渝地区双城经济圈旅游发展赋能县域城乡融合的实现机制研究"(24YBCY13)。

The Synergistic Effect of Digital Green Finance Platforms on Pollution Abatement and Carbon Reduction: A Causal Inference Based on Double Machine Learning

LYU Wanqing, XIAO Zhaofu   

  1. School of Business Administration and Tourism Management, Yunnan University, Kunming 650500, China
  • Received:2025-11-10 Published:2026-03-28

摘要: 数字金融是实现经济社会发展全面绿色转型的核心引擎,但实践中常面临政银企信息不对称引致的"洗绿"风险与资源错配难题,制约了减污降碳的协同效应。不同于既有文献侧重于宏观政策评估或单一指标考察,文章聚焦"数字绿色金融平台"这一旨在破解信息壁垒的微观数字基础设施,从系统论视角探究其治理效能。基于2010—2023年中国287个城市面板数据,采用修正的耦合协调模型测度减污降碳协同水平,以3731个数字绿色金融平台为准自然实验,采用双重机器学习模型稳健识别其因果效应。研究发现:数字绿色金融平台显著驱动了减污降碳协同增效,且该效应具有立竿见影并渐趋强化的动态特征。机制分析发现,平台宏观上通过促进绿色信贷"增量提质"、微观上通过降低商业银行风险承担水平促进减污降碳协同;异质性分析表明,建站独立性越高、功能越丰富、交互渠道越多元的平台对减污降碳的协同增效越强。研究结论为深入推进数字中国建设,更好统筹发展和安全提供了理论参考和经验证据。

关键词: 数字金融服务, 减污降碳, 协同增效, 全面绿色转型

Abstract: Digital finance serves as a pivotal engine for achieving the comprehensive green transformation of economic and social development. However, in practice, challenges such as "greenwashing" risks and resource misallocation arising from information asymmetry among the government, banks, and enterprises often constrain the synergistic efficiency of pollution abatement and carbon reduction. Distinct from existing literature that predominantly focuses on macro-policy evaluations or single-indicator assessments, this paper targets the "digital green finance platform"—a micro-level digital infrastructure designed to break information barriers—and explores its governance efficacy from a systems theory perspective. Based on panel data from 287 Chinese cities spanning 2010 to 2023, this study utilizes a MCCD to measure the synergistic level of pollution abatement and carbon reduction. Treating the establishment of 3,731 digital green finance platforms as a quasi-natural experiment, the DML model is employed to robustly identify their causal effects. The findings indicate that digital green finance platforms significantly drive the synergistic effect of pollution abatement and carbon reduction, exhibiting dynamic characteristics that are both immediate and progressively strengthening. Mechanism analysis reveals that at the macro level, platforms enhance synergy by promoting the "quantity expansion and quality improvement" of green credit; at the micro level, they achieve this by mitigating commercial banks’ risk-taking. Heterogeneity analysis further suggests that platforms with higher independence, richer functionality, and more diversified interaction channels yield stronger synergistic effects. These conclusions provide theoretical references and empirical evidence for deepening the construction of Digital China and better coordinating development and security.

Key words: digital financial services, pollution abatement and carbon reduction, synergistic effect, comprehensive green transformation

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